NCAA Tournament March Madness

#104 UC San Diego

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Projection: likely out

UC San Diego’s profile looks like a borderline resume because its best work has come against mid-major opponents rather than a marquee power; road wins at Fresno State and Long Beach State and strong neutral-site results against Temple, Bradley and Towson show it can win away from home, but costly setbacks such as home losses to San Diego and Cal State Fullerton and an unexpected trip loss at Cal Poly expose a lack of consistency. Those damaging defeats matter more than the nice home victory over Hawaii because the committee prizes quality wins and road or neutral success against recognized opponents, and defensive lapses in tight games have turned several winnable chances into résumé hits. The remaining schedule gives clear opportunities to reshape the case with road tests at UC Davis and UC Santa Barbara and home chances against UC Irvine, Cal Poly and Cal State Bakersfield, yet the Tritons will need one or two signature wins away from campus against league rivals to truly flip the committee’s view.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/8Houston Chr300W78-60
11/12@Fresno St135W78-73
11/15Idaho191W75-67
11/24(N)Temple144W91-76
11/25(N)Bradley137W87-77
11/26(N)Towson172W87-73
12/2@Nevada65L76-70
12/6@Long Beach St229W80-74
12/13(N)Tulane190W93-67
12/16@Loy Marymount155W67-57
12/19San Diego201L82-80
1/1@Cal Poly245L67-65
1/3Hawaii100W83-73
1/8CS Fullerton202L88-71
1/10@UC Riverside273W69-66
1/15CS Northridge204L84-79
1/17@CS Bakersfield306W83-62
1/22@UC Davis16556%
1/24UC Irvine12568%
1/29UC Santa Barbara15674%
1/31@CS Northridge20464%
2/5Long Beach St22985%
2/7@Hawaii10038%
2/8@Hawaii10038%
2/12UC Davis16576%
2/14UC Riverside27390%
2/21@UC Irvine12546%
2/26CS Bakersfield30693%
2/28Cal Poly24586%
3/5@CS Fullerton20264%
3/7@UC Santa Barbara15654%